How is "Occupancy" calculated?

Although occupancy is an estimated metric, it provides insights into changing demands or potential distress

How "Occupancy" is calculated

We estimate occupancy using publicly available rental listings:

  • 100% – (Units Listed Online ÷ Total Units in the Building)

Why estimates are valuable

  • Timeliness: Public listings update in real-time, faster than official reports that lag by weeks or months. While it may not match reported figures exactly, it’s a reliable way to benchmark properties and track trends across markets. It gives you a leading indicator of changing demand
  • Early Warning System: A sudden increase in online listings will show up in RentTracker's occupancy trend graph immediately — allowing asset managers to spot potential distress before it’s reflected in financials

How to spot issues using Occupancy trend graphs

  1. ‍Multiple stabilized comps below 95% occupancy
    ‍Potential issues: Low market-wide demand or pricing misalignment
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  2. Downward trending occupancy
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    Potential issues: Multiple lease expirations, increased move-outs, or competition from comps
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  3. Sudden spikes in units listed online
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    Potential issues: Mass move-outs or new competing inventory
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  4. Frequent up and down swings‍
    Potential issues: Seasonal demand issues or inconsistent leasing
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  5. 1 property's occupancy lagging behind high-occupancy comps‍
    Potential issues: That property may have property-specific problems (e.g., amenities, management, pricing)
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  6. Comp's occupancy plateauing below stabilized target‍
    Potential issues: Comp may need repositioning, rent adjustments, or operational changes
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  7. Declines in previously high-occupancy properties‍
    Potential issues: Emerging tenant dissatisfaction, maintenance issues, or neighborhood-level changes
Example of multiple stabilized comps below target occupancy, signalling market-wide demand issues or pricing misalignment

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